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Japanese Firm Shows Smart Toilet
http://www.allnetdevices.com/wired/news/2000/12/22/japanese_firm.html
December 22, 2000
Knight Ridder/Tribune Business News via COMTEX
With so many people focusing this year on the convergence of cell phones and hand-held
organizers, most consumers missed the melding of medical testing equipment and toilets.
But sure enough, Matsushita Electric Industrial Co. of Japan has built a toilet that checks a
person's temperature, blood pressure and blood sugar. This data can then be electronically
transmitted to a medical professional monitoring the patient's status from afar.
"In 5 to 10 years time, this could replace your doctor," said Michio Kaku, a professor of
theoretical physics at City University of New York who lectures about the future of technology.
While it may be a tad premature to dismiss the medical profession entirely, the smart toilet is a
sign of things of come.
Technology companies and electronics-makers are scrambling to figure out consumers' tolerance
levels for more technological gizmos entering their lives as well as what kinds of gadgets they
will use to access the Internet and communicate with each other electronically. The emergence
of new devices--and sagging sales of personal computers--affects a range of technology-based
industries, everything from software to semiconductors.
Industry watchers say much of the focus in 2001 will continue to be the push to bring together
the capabilities of cell phones and hand-held organizers with a host of other functions, such as
sending e-mail, playing music and shooting pictures. These gadgets are likely to arrive in a
wealth of colors, styles and combinations of capabilities, reflecting an increased demand for personalization of
technology.
"I don't think there's any one device for the future," said David Bishop, director of wireless and mobile services at
Yankee Group in Boston. "Everyone wants something slightly different."
While the popularity of cell phones and hand-held organizers has surged, sales of personal computers have fallen
dramatically. In November, sales of desktop computers sank 17.5 percent compared to the same month a year earlier,
according to Reston, Va.-based PC Data. Steve Baker, vice president of technology product research at PC Data, said
personal computer-makers have been victims of a softening in the economy, much like car manufacturers and
appliance-makers.
"PCs are in the same boat as a big, durable goods now," Baker said. Still, sales of many other consumer technology
products, such as digital cameras and CD burners, have continued to boom. For now, Baker said, many consumers view
their computers as "Internet devices" with sufficient processing power. They buy Palm Pilots or other items to take
advantage of recent technological advances.
Baker said he thinks the PC will remain the center of consumers' technological universe, but he expects that they won't
rush out to buy more powerful machines or other enhancements until broadband services can deliver streaming video
and other high-data features.
"You're going to want something that gives you the full experience," he said. Michael Krasny, chairman and chief
executive of CDW Computer Centers Inc., said the devices that eventually succeed will largely be driven by something
consumers never see--the technological infrastructure of networks, switches and routers that steers electronic traffic
from machine to machine.
"What will happen is the experience you get will dramatically improve as a result of back-end technology growth," said
Krasny, whose Vernon Hills-based firm sells computers and other technology products. Krasny pointed to lightweight
electronic tablets as an example of an innovation that he believes will eventually gain popularity. These gadgets have
nearly full-size screens and allow users to enter information with a penlike instrument. They could eventually be used
to watch videos.
Many prognosticators thought Internet appliances, which are used to surf the Web and send e-mail, would become hot
devices this year, but with price tags of $400 to $500, they haven't caught consumers' attention. Other efforts that
have yet to yield significant results include trying to upgrade appliances that consumers already own.
Schaumburg, Illinois-based Motorola Inc., for example, has developed a prototype Internet refrigerator. Tom Freeburg,
Motorola's chief corporate futurist, said futuristic refrigerators will have electronic message boards on the outside and
the capability to let their owners know when they're running low on milk or other items. "Everybody knows [the
refrigerator] is going to be something big," Freeburg said, "but we don't know what to do with it yet." By Rob Kaiser